Election of 1884

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Abbreviations Definitions Sources

BASICS

Category Result
Incumbent Chester Arthur (R)
Prior streak R (6)
Prior five elections R (5)
Population 54,959,987
States 38
Electoral votes 401
Popular votes 10,058,373
Voter turnout 77.5%

FIELD OF QUALIFIED CANDIDATES

Candidate Party PI Age State Position Nom Win CS ROP
Grover Cleveland D 7.5 47.62 New York Governor X X 78.78 105
James Blaine R 6.7 54.75 Maine Former senator X 73.26 109
Chester Arthur R 8.8 55.07 New York President 37.07 42
Thomas Bayard D 6.2 56.01 Delaware Senator 26.53 43
George Edmunds R 7.0 56.75 Vermont Senator 19.02 27
Allen Thurman D 7.4 70.97 Ohio Former senator 18.54 25
Samuel Randall D 6.3 56.06 Pennsylvania Representative 17.58 28
John Logan R 8.1 58.73 Illinois Senator 16.15 20
Joseph McDonald D 7.3 65.17 Indiana Former senator 15.43 21
Thomas Hendricks D 6.4 65.15 Indiana Former governor 14.39 22

GENERAL ELECTION

Candidate Party SC PV PV% EV EV% PV*EQ EV*EQ
Grover Cleveland D 20 4,915,586 48.87% 219 54.61% 48,870,588 294
James Blaine R 18 4,852,916 48.25% 182 45.39% 48,247,525 244

REGIONAL SPLITS

Candidate Party PV% East South Midwest West EV East South Midwest West
Grover Cleveland D 48.87% 46.02% 58.66% 46.27% 44.74% 219 68 120 31 0
James Blaine R 48.25% 49.90% 40.46% 50.76% 52.43% 182 62 0 103 17

PV BY STATES

State Total PV Cleveland Blaine Other
Alabama 153,624 92,736 59,444 1,444
Arkansas 125,779 72,734 51,198 1,847
California 196,988 89,288 102,369 5,331
Colorado 66,519 27,723 36,084 2,712
Connecticut 137,221 67,167 65,879 4,175
Delaware 29,984 16,957 12,953 74
Florida 59,990 31,769 28,031 190
Georgia 143,610 94,667 48,603 340
Illinois 672,670 312,351 337,469 22,850
Indiana 495,423 245,041 238,511 11,871
Iowa 393,542 177,316 197,089 19,137
Kansas 250,991 90,111 154,410 6,470
Kentucky 276,503 152,894 118,822 4,787
Louisiana 109,399 62,594 46,347 458
Maine 130,489 52,153 72,217 6,119
Maryland 185,838 96,941 85,748 3,149
Massachusetts 303,383 122,352 146,724 34,307
Michigan 401,186 189,361 192,669 19,156
Minnesota 190,236 70,135 111,819 8,282
Mississippi 120,688 77,653 43,035
Missouri 441,268 236,023 203,081 2,164
Nebraska 134,202 54,391 76,912 2,899
Nevada 12,779 5,577 7,176 26
New Hampshire 84,586 39,198 43,254 2,134
New Jersey 260,853 127,747 123,436 9,670
New York 1,167,003 563,048 562,001 41,954
North Carolina 268,356 142,905 125,021 430
Ohio 784,620 368,280 400,092 16,248
Oregon 52,683 24,598 26,845 1,240
Pennsylvania 899,563 392,915 474,350 32,298
Rhode Island 32,771 12,391 19,030 1,350
South Carolina 92,812 69,845 21,730 1,237
Tennessee 259,978 133,770 124,101 2,107
Texas 326,458 226,375 93,345 6,738
Vermont 59,409 17,331 39,514 2,564
Virginia 284,977 145,491 139,356 130
West Virginia 132,145 67,311 63,096 1,738
Wisconsin 319,847 146,447 161,155 12,245
Total 10,058,373 4,915,586 4,852,916 289,871

PV% BY STATES

State PV winner Cleveland Blaine Other
Alabama Cleveland 60.37% 38.69% 0.94%
Arkansas Cleveland 57.83% 40.71% 1.47%
California Blaine 45.33% 51.97% 2.71%
Colorado Blaine 41.68% 54.25% 4.08%
Connecticut Cleveland 48.95% 48.01% 3.04%
Delaware Cleveland 56.55% 43.20% 0.25%
Florida Cleveland 52.96% 46.73% 0.32%
Georgia Cleveland 65.92% 33.84% 0.24%
Illinois Blaine 46.44% 50.17% 3.40%
Indiana Cleveland 49.46% 48.14% 2.40%
Iowa Blaine 45.06% 50.08% 4.86%
Kansas Blaine 35.90% 61.52% 2.58%
Kentucky Cleveland 55.30% 42.97% 1.73%
Louisiana Cleveland 57.22% 42.37% 0.42%
Maine Blaine 39.97% 55.34% 4.69%
Maryland Cleveland 52.16% 46.14% 1.69%
Massachusetts Blaine 40.33% 48.36% 11.31%
Michigan Blaine 47.20% 48.03% 4.78%
Minnesota Blaine 36.87% 58.78% 4.35%
Mississippi Cleveland 64.34% 35.66%
Missouri Cleveland 53.49% 46.02% 0.49%
Nebraska Blaine 40.53% 57.31% 2.16%
Nevada Blaine 43.64% 56.16% 0.20%
New Hampshire Blaine 46.34% 51.14% 2.52%
New Jersey Cleveland 48.97% 47.32% 3.71%
New York Cleveland 48.25% 48.16% 3.60%
North Carolina Cleveland 53.25% 46.59% 0.16%
Ohio Blaine 46.94% 50.99% 2.07%
Oregon Blaine 46.69% 50.96% 2.35%
Pennsylvania Blaine 43.68% 52.73% 3.59%
Rhode Island Blaine 37.81% 58.07% 4.12%
South Carolina Cleveland 75.25% 23.41% 1.33%
Tennessee Cleveland 51.45% 47.74% 0.81%
Texas Cleveland 69.34% 28.59% 2.06%
Vermont Blaine 29.17% 66.51% 4.32%
Virginia Cleveland 51.05% 48.90% 0.05%
West Virginia Cleveland 50.94% 47.75% 1.32%
Wisconsin Blaine 45.79% 50.39% 3.83%
Total Cleveland 48.87% 48.25% 2.88%

EV BY STATES

State Total EV Cleveland Blaine
Alabama 10 10 0
Arkansas 7 7 0
California 8 0 8
Colorado 3 0 3
Connecticut 6 6 0
Delaware 3 3 0
Florida 4 4 0
Georgia 12 12 0
Illinois 22 0 22
Indiana 15 15 0
Iowa 13 0 13
Kansas 9 0 9
Kentucky 13 13 0
Louisiana 8 8 0
Maine 6 0 6
Maryland 8 8 0
Massachusetts 14 0 14
Michigan 13 0 13
Minnesota 7 0 7
Mississippi 9 9 0
Missouri 16 16 0
Nebraska 5 0 5
Nevada 3 0 3
New Hampshire 4 0 4
New Jersey 9 9 0
New York 36 36 0
North Carolina 11 11 0
Ohio 23 0 23
Oregon 3 0 3
Pennsylvania 30 0 30
Rhode Island 4 0 4
South Carolina 9 9 0
Tennessee 12 12 0
Texas 13 13 0
Vermont 4 0 4
Virginia 12 12 0
West Virginia 6 6 0
Wisconsin 11 0 11
Total 401 219 182

MARGINS AND FLIPS

State PV winner Runnerup Gap (votes) Gap (points) Flip
Alabama Cleveland Blaine 33,292 21.67 16,647
Arkansas Cleveland Blaine 21,536 17.12 10,769
California Blaine Cleveland 13,081 6.64 6,541
Colorado Blaine Cleveland 8,361 12.57 4,181
Connecticut Cleveland Blaine 1,288 0.94 645
Delaware Cleveland Blaine 4,004 13.35 2,003
Florida Cleveland Blaine 3,738 6.23 1,870
Georgia Cleveland Blaine 46,064 32.08 23,033
Illinois Blaine Cleveland 25,118 3.73 12,560
Indiana Cleveland Blaine 6,530 1.32 3,266
Iowa Blaine Cleveland 19,773 5.03 9,887
Kansas Blaine Cleveland 64,299 25.62 32,150
Kentucky Cleveland Blaine 34,072 12.32 17,037
Louisiana Cleveland Blaine 16,247 14.85 8,124
Maine Blaine Cleveland 20,064 15.38 10,033
Maryland Cleveland Blaine 11,193 6.02 5,597
Massachusetts Blaine Cleveland 24,372 8.03 12,187
Michigan Blaine Cleveland 3,308 0.83 1,655
Minnesota Blaine Cleveland 41,684 21.91 20,843
Mississippi Cleveland Blaine 34,618 28.68 17,310
Missouri Cleveland Blaine 32,942 7.46 16,472
Nebraska Blaine Cleveland 22,521 16.78 11,261
Nevada Blaine Cleveland 1,599 12.51 800
New Hampshire Blaine Cleveland 4,056 4.80 2,029
New Jersey Cleveland Blaine 4,311 1.65 2,156
New York Cleveland Blaine 1,047 0.09 524
North Carolina Cleveland Blaine 17,884 6.66 8,943
Ohio Blaine Cleveland 31,812 4.06 15,907
Oregon Blaine Cleveland 2,247 4.27 1,124
Pennsylvania Blaine Cleveland 81,435 9.05 40,718
Rhode Island Blaine Cleveland 6,639 20.26 3,320
South Carolina Cleveland Blaine 48,115 51.84 24,058
Tennessee Cleveland Blaine 9,669 3.72 4,835
Texas Cleveland Blaine 133,030 40.75 66,516
Vermont Blaine Cleveland 22,183 37.34 11,092
Virginia Cleveland Blaine 6,135 2.15 3,068
West Virginia Cleveland Blaine 4,215 3.19 2,108
Wisconsin Blaine Cleveland 14,708 4.60 7,355
Total Cleveland Blaine 62,670 0.62 31,336
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