Election of 1852

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Abbreviations Definitions Sources

BASICS

Category Result
Incumbent Millard Fillmore (W)
Prior streak W (1)
Prior five elections D (3), W (2)
Population 24,647,585
States 31
Electoral votes 296
Popular votes 3,161,830
Voter turnout 69.6%

FIELD OF QUALIFIED CANDIDATES

Candidate Party PI Age State Position Nom Win CS ROP
Franklin Pierce D 7.0 47.94 New Hampshire Former senator X X 89.52 128
Winfield Scott W 4.2 66.39 New Jersey General X 63.01 150
Millard Fillmore W 9.1 52.82 New York President 45.85 50
Lewis Cass D 6.9 70.06 Michigan Senator 42.18 61
James Buchanan D 7.9 61.52 Pennsylvania Former Cabinet member 35.79 45
John Hale FS 5.4 46.59 New Hampshire Senator 25.71 48
Daniel Webster W 6.0 70.79 Massachusetts Cabinet member 18.52 31
William Marcy D 5.9 65.89 New York Former Cabinet member 17.50 30
Stephen Douglas D 6.9 39.52 Illinois Senator 15.51 22
Joseph Lane D 3.1 50.88 Oregon Territorial delegate 13.59 44

GENERAL ELECTION

Candidate Party SC PV PV% EV EV% PV*EQ EV*EQ
Franklin Pierce D 27 1,607,510 50.84% 254 85.81% 50,841,127 462
Winfield Scott W 4 1,386,942 43.87% 42 14.19% 43,865,167 76
John Hale FS 0 155,210 4.91% 0 0.00% 4,908,866 0

REGIONAL SPLITS

Candidate Party PV% East South Midwest West EV East South Midwest West
Franklin Pierce D 50.84% 49.07% 54.82% 50.59% 53.02% 254 103 76 71 4
Winfield Scott W 43.87% 44.57% 43.99% 42.44% 46.83% 42 18 24 0 0
John Hale FS 4.91% 6.08% 0.04% 6.96% 0.08% 0 0 0 0 0

PV BY STATES

State Total PV Pierce Scott Hale Other
Alabama 44,147 26,881 15,061 2,205
Arkansas 19,577 12,173 7,404
California 76,810 40,721 35,972 61 56
Connecticut 66,781 33,249 30,359 3,161 12
Delaware 12,673 6,318 6,293 62
Florida 7,193 4,318 2,875
Georgia 62,626 40,516 16,660 5,450
Illinois 154,974 80,378 64,733 9,863
Indiana 183,176 95,340 80,907 6,929
Iowa 35,364 17,763 15,856 1,606 139
Kentucky 111,643 53,949 57,428 266
Louisiana 35,902 18,647 17,255
Maine 82,182 41,609 32,543 8,030
Maryland 75,120 40,022 35,077 21
Massachusetts 127,103 44,569 52,683 28,023 1,828
Michigan 82,939 41,842 33,860 7,237
Mississippi 44,454 26,896 17,558
Missouri 68,801 38,817 29,984
New Hampshire 50,535 28,503 15,486 6,546
New Jersey 83,926 44,301 38,551 336 738
New York 522,294 262,083 234,882 25,329
North Carolina 78,891 39,788 39,043 60
Ohio 352,903 169,193 152,577 31,133
Pennsylvania 387,920 198,568 179,182 8,500 1,670
Rhode Island 17,005 8,735 7,626 644
South Carolina
Tennessee 115,486 56,900 58,586
Texas 20,223 14,857 5,356 10
Vermont 43,838 13,044 22,173 8,621
Virginia 132,604 73,872 58,732
Wisconsin 64,740 33,658 22,240 8,842
Total 3,161,830 1,607,510 1,386,942 155,210 12,168

PV% BY STATES

State PV winner Pierce Scott Hale Other
Alabama Pierce 60.89% 34.12% 5.00%
Arkansas Pierce 62.18% 37.82%
California Pierce 53.02% 46.83% 0.08% 0.07%
Connecticut Pierce 49.79% 45.46% 4.73% 0.02%
Delaware Pierce 49.85% 49.66% 0.49%
Florida Pierce 60.03% 39.97%
Georgia Pierce 64.70% 26.60% 8.70%
Illinois Pierce 51.87% 41.77% 6.36%
Indiana Pierce 52.05% 44.17% 3.78%
Iowa Pierce 50.23% 44.84% 4.54% 0.39%
Kentucky Scott 48.32% 51.44% 0.24%
Louisiana Pierce 51.94% 48.06%
Maine Pierce 50.63% 39.60% 9.77%
Maryland Pierce 53.28% 46.70% 0.03%
Massachusetts Scott 35.07% 41.45% 22.05% 1.44%
Michigan Pierce 50.45% 40.83% 8.73%
Mississippi Pierce 60.50% 39.50%
Missouri Pierce 56.42% 43.58%
New Hampshire Pierce 56.40% 30.64% 12.95%
New Jersey Pierce 52.79% 45.94% 0.40% 0.88%
New York Pierce 50.18% 44.97% 4.85%
North Carolina Pierce 50.43% 49.49% 0.08%
Ohio Pierce 47.94% 43.24% 8.82%
Pennsylvania Pierce 51.19% 46.19% 2.19% 0.43%
Rhode Island Pierce 51.37% 44.85% 3.79%
South Carolina
Tennessee Scott 49.27% 50.73%
Texas Pierce 73.47% 26.49% 0.05%
Vermont Scott 29.76% 50.58% 19.67%
Virginia Pierce 55.71% 44.29%
Wisconsin Pierce 51.99% 34.35% 13.66%
Total Pierce 50.84% 43.87% 4.91% 0.39%

EV BY STATES

State Total EV Pierce Scott
Alabama 9 9 0
Arkansas 4 4 0
California 4 4 0
Connecticut 6 6 0
Delaware 3 3 0
Florida 3 3 0
Georgia 10 10 0
Illinois 11 11 0
Indiana 13 13 0
Iowa 4 4 0
Kentucky 12 0 12
Louisiana 6 6 0
Maine 8 8 0
Maryland 8 8 0
Massachusetts 13 0 13
Michigan 6 6 0
Mississippi 7 7 0
Missouri 9 9 0
New Hampshire 5 5 0
New Jersey 7 7 0
New York 35 35 0
North Carolina 10 10 0
Ohio 23 23 0
Pennsylvania 27 27 0
Rhode Island 4 4 0
South Carolina 8 8 0
Tennessee 12 0 12
Texas 4 4 0
Vermont 5 0 5
Virginia 15 15 0
Wisconsin 5 5 0
Total 296 254 42

MARGINS AND FLIPS

State PV winner Runnerup Gap (votes) Gap (points) Flip
Alabama Pierce Scott 11,820 26.77 5,911
Arkansas Pierce Scott 4,769 24.36 2,385
California Pierce Scott 4,749 6.18 2,375
Connecticut Pierce Scott 2,890 4.33 1,446
Delaware Pierce Scott 25 0.20 13
Florida Pierce Scott 1,443 20.06 722
Georgia Pierce Scott 23,856 38.09 11,929
Illinois Pierce Scott 15,645 10.10 7,823
Indiana Pierce Scott 14,433 7.88 7,217
Iowa Pierce Scott 1,907 5.39 954
Kentucky Scott Pierce 3,479 3.12 1,740
Louisiana Pierce Scott 1,392 3.88 697
Maine Pierce Scott 9,066 11.03 4,534
Maryland Pierce Scott 4,945 6.58 2,473
Massachusetts Scott Pierce 8,114 6.38 4,058
Michigan Pierce Scott 7,982 9.62 3,992
Mississippi Pierce Scott 9,338 21.01 4,670
Missouri Pierce Scott 8,833 12.84 4,417
New Hampshire Pierce Scott 13,017 25.76 6,509
New Jersey Pierce Scott 5,750 6.85 2,876
New York Pierce Scott 27,201 5.21 13,601
North Carolina Pierce Scott 745 0.94 373
Ohio Pierce Scott 16,616 4.71 8,309
Pennsylvania Pierce Scott 19,386 5.00 9,694
Rhode Island Pierce Scott 1,109 6.52 555
South Carolina
Tennessee Scott Pierce 1,686 1.46 844
Texas Pierce Scott 9,501 46.98 4,751
Vermont Scott Pierce 9,129 20.82 4,565
Virginia Pierce Scott 15,140 11.42 7,571
Wisconsin Pierce Scott 11,418 17.64 5,710
Total Pierce Scott 220,568 6.98 110,285
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